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The evacuation of settlers from Amona in February 2006. (Tomer Appelbaum)
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Last update - 10:48 20/12/2007
Experts: Extreme rightists will use violence if settlements are evacuated
By Amos Harel, Haaretz Correspondent
Tags: Israel, Disengagement 

Extreme right-wing activists are expected to use severe violence to disrupt any move to evacuate outposts or settlements, even the destruction of a few homes, according to an evaluation recently presented to the government by the security establishment and law enforcement officials in the territories.

The evaluation states that the violence during any attempt at evacuation would be more serious than that seen during the evacuation of Amona two years ago.

However security officials do not at this stage foresee an increased threat to the lives of senior politicians, because the extreme right does not appear to believe the Annapolis process will succeed and therefore the settlements are not in danger.
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After the evacuation of Amona two years ago, the ideological foundations and plans of actions were reformulated against future evacuations. In a booklet distributed at one of the extreme-right rallies, the message was that violence might deter the government from additional evacuations.

"The war must be brought to the field of the enemy," the booklet said. "In this matter and in this situation [evacuation], the IDF is the enemy."

The security establishment believes that any attempt to evacuate settlements will result in violence against the security forces, large-scale disturbances, and endangerment of human life. The experts also see widespread refusal of orders in the IDF.

The security establishment says there has been erosion in the ability of IDF commanders to act as mediators of the extremist elements in the settlement population, because of the part the army played in disengagement. They say violence in future evacuation attempts may increase because the settlers saw the rabbis' promise that disengagement would not happen as false, and believe they have only themselves to rely on to prevent additional evacuations.

Many extremists consider protests that remain within the law pathetic, and that the violent protest during the evacuation at Amona should be the least they do the next time.

In complete opposition to media reports, which foresaw a wave of violence on the extreme right and increase security around the prime minister in the near future, the Shin Bet security service's Judea and Samaria division has not seen unusual activity on the extreme right. It is believed that as long as the extreme right does not see immediate danger to the future of Jerusalem, the settlements or the outposts, they will not act.

The impression of the experts is that Israel is very far from civil war. The number of intelligence tips regarding violent plans or statements by the extreme right are very low, certainly in comparison to the period of the Camp David conference in July 2000 or ahead of disengagement in August 2005. The level of threat toward two central targets that concern the Shin Bet - the prime minister and the mosques on the Temple Mount - are considered very low.

The analysis of violent acts in the past by extreme right-wing elements against cabinet ministers and Palestinians shows that they tend to act when their personal security is undermined, especially among the settlers due to increased Palestinian terror, and over concern that settlements might be evacuated in the framework of the diplomatic process.

At the height of the second intifada, between 2001 and 2002, for example, a Jewish terror unit was active, and allegedly murdered seven Palestinians. The Shin Bet has claimed for years that it knows the identity of the murderers, but they were unable to collect enough evidence against them that could lead to an indictment. The extreme right was also particularly violent during the second round of Oslo agreements, Camp David and the disengagement.



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      1.   Never Again ! 03:38  |  betz55 20/12/07
      2.   Stop your propaganda there will not be any evacuation 03:52  |  e.m 20/12/07
      3.   now there is a surprise!! violent right wing religious biggots 03:52  |  muslim 20/12/07
      4.   Haaretz and its "experts" 04:43  |  Rabbi Yakov Lazaros 20/12/07
      5.   Tabloid Journalism..... 05:07  |  Straight Talk 20/12/07
      6.   Should not be a big issue for the IDF? 05:13  |  Dutch Dirk 20/12/07
      7.   Any surprise there? 05:19  |  Jon 20/12/07
      8.   I don`t understand, is this an article? 05:40  |  Jake 20/12/07
      9.   To Jon #3 05:55  |  Otto Rand 20/12/07
      10.   ExtremLeft using EU sponsered violence 05:59  |  Jacob 20/12/07
      11.   Israeli Terrorists: "the IDF is the enemy." 06:06  |  POP 20/12/07
      12.   Agree with #1 06:46  |  JS 20/12/07
      13.   obvious solution 06:46  |  realism 20/12/07
      14.   There won`t be any future pullouts 07:01  |  Dani 20/12/07
      15.   Madness 07:03  |  Esther 20/12/07
      16.   Re Jon #3 07:08  |  Esther 20/12/07
      17.   Holland and NATO should help Israel out. 07:17  |  Dutch Dirk 20/12/07
      18.   Far right will up violence??? 07:21  |  Pincus Ben Ysroal 20/12/07
      19.   Civil War in Israel 07:31  |  Jim 20/12/07
      20.   Esther- you`re a blind fool 07:32  |  Former Sharon voter 20/12/07
      21.   There won?t be any disengagement from W.B.Haaretz is dishonest 08:48  |  e.m 20/12/07
      22.   violence 08:58  |  Tal 20/12/07
      23.   Re Otto #6 08:59  |  Esther 20/12/07
      24.   forced evacuation 08:59  |  Daniel Lang 20/12/07
      25.   Re #17 09:09  |  Esther 20/12/07
      26.   Esther #`s12&13 09:14  |  S 20/12/07
      27.   To Esther 118 09:22  |  Choni Davidowitz 20/12/07
      28.   TRUE HEADLINE: "Extream left wing government plots more violence 09:52  |  Jew 20/12/07
      29.   Esther do you want Transfer for Jews but not for Arabs 09:53  |  Margie in Tel Aviv 20/12/07
      30.   #17 the crass dirk knows nothing of human rights 10:02  |  victor hardman 20/12/07
      31.   Do thugs rule Israel? 10:15  |  Clickfool 20/12/07
      32.   #20 former Sharon voter 10:19  |  Ari ben Yisrael 20/12/07
      33.   Violence the true way of the extreme right 10:22  |  SJ 20/12/07
      34.   #27 I may not always agree with Esther 10:24  |  Ari ben Yisrael 20/12/07
      35.   Simple Solution! Declare far right terrorists and destroy them 10:34  |  Yossi Cronenberg 20/12/07
      36.   No Palestinian Land...? Hello - Palestine calling! 10:39  |  Palestinian Brit 20/12/07
      37.   margie in ta 29 10:46  |  realism 20/12/07
      38.   Response for S and others 10:52  |  Esther 20/12/07
      39.   Violence at Amona 10:53  |  Gyla Berman Perle 20/12/07
      40.   If Olmert tries it we will have civil war! 11:08  |  Avraham 20/12/07
      41.   Np pull out, until there is semblance of peace. 11:09  |  Stephen. 20/12/07
      42.   extreme rightists already there 11:19  |  Raymond Deane 20/12/07
      43.   It won`t happen- 50% of officers are from YOSH!! 11:23  |  Dr Eric 20/12/07
      44.   To Esther 11:33  |  Suzanne 20/12/07
      45.   center left 11:35  |  hank 20/12/07
      46.   The settlers Aliya 11:38  |  CN 20/12/07
      47.   Right Wing Terrorists and the Staus Quo 11:44  |  Yaakov Sullivan 20/12/07
      48.   2 State Solution - Israel and Jordan 11:47  |  Swiss Dino 20/12/07
      49.   The IDF hasn`t even taken down a single maachaz!! 11:51  |  menachem golan 20/12/07
      50.   Esther - your in dream world 11:54  |  Suzanne 20/12/07
      51.   The Great Divide. 11:55  |  Stephen. 20/12/07
      52.   Re Ari #34 12:23  |  Esther 20/12/07
      53.   To Ari # 34 12:30  |  Choni Davidowitz 20/12/07
      54.   Normal behaving 12:33  |  Anne 20/12/07
      55.   To Zusanne/Esther 12:40  |  Anne 20/12/07
      56.   IS THERE MORE VIOLENCE THAN STEELING LAND, UPROOTING TRESS?? 13:12  |  TrippleJump 20/12/07
      57.   Hank - No 45 13:16  |  Palestinian Brit 20/12/07
      58.   For thirty years they have been taught 13:41  |  Mark Lincoln 20/12/07
      59.   #6 Dutch Kirk..well said! 13:46  |  T A Sheppard 20/12/07
      60.   Anne - if it is majority why not have referendum? 14:12  |  Suzanne 20/12/07
      61.   to Rabbi Y. Lazaros #4 - on the real issue 14:13  |  zeev 20/12/07
      62.   Esther/Standing Ovation! 14:20  |  standing up 20/12/07
      63.   #60 Suzanne 14:34  |  Awake 20/12/07
      64.   Anne. Majority of who? You? 14:34  |  Nephtaly 20/12/07
      65.   To standing up #62 14:38  |  dovale 20/12/07
      66.   Show me the Way... 14:41  |  Yahsra 20/12/07
      67.   (Esther/Anne) 14:52  |  Nephtaly 20/12/07
      68.   POOR RABIN AND OTHER PEACEMAKERS 14:53  |  indrajaya 20/12/07
      69.   to Margie in Tel Aviv #29 - a most flawed symetry 14:56  |  zeev 20/12/07
      70.   Awakes response to Suzanne 15:14  |  Nephtaly 20/12/07
      71.   How to deal with the settlers 15:24  |  Tosefta 20/12/07
      72.   Haaretz 15:27  |  MR 20/12/07
      73.   Zeev on Margie 15:29  |  Nephtaly 20/12/07
      74.   # 69 Zeev - Exchange of Territory? Quelle Horerur! 15:32  |  17 20/12/07
      75.   Tosefta 15:36  |  Nephtaly 20/12/07
      76.   # 71 Heil Tosefta - 15:36  |  17 20/12/07
      77.   Re Nephtaly...minor correction 15:36  |  Esther 20/12/07
      78.   Illegal outposts should be evacuated soon 15:38  |  Tosefta 20/12/07
      79.   NO to Ethnic Cleansing of Jews in Historic Israel 15:47  |  B 20/12/07
      80.   to victor hardman #30 15:57  |  zeev 20/12/07
      81.   Baba Yaga and the "17" Dwarfs (Now only 16; #76) 15:58  |  Tosefta 20/12/07
      82.   # 78 Tosefta - Meaningful shift of meaning? 16:03  |  17 20/12/07
      83.   Esther 16:04  |  Nephtaly 20/12/07
      84.   #70 Nephtaly 16:07  |  Awake 20/12/07
      85.   Right on:"extreme rightists" will fight islamoleftists 16:13  |  trumpeldor 20/12/07
      86.   Tosefta Correction 16:14  |  Nephtaly 20/12/07
      87.   Awake 16:37  |  Nephtaly 20/12/07
      88.   Settlements should not be evacuated. Instead, most of the West 16:41  |  Nahum 20/12/07
      89.   # 81 Tosefta - Nice piece indeed - I liked it 16:43  |  17 20/12/07
      90.   Corrections to Nephtaly #86 16:55  |  Tosefta 20/12/07
      91.   # 56 triple jump LEARN TO SPELL DUMMY 17:05  |  Petra 20/12/07
      92.   # 79 No to ethic cleansing of Jews 17:11  |  Petra 20/12/07
      93.   to 17 #74 17:14  |  zeev 20/12/07
      94.   Tosefta on the Illegal Outposts 17:19  |  Yaakov Sullivan 20/12/07
      95.   Tosefta`s Correction 17:22  |  ODP1 20/12/07
      96.   Nephtaly #87 17:24  |  Awake 20/12/07
      97.   to Nephtaly #73, on integration 17:36  |  zeev 20/12/07
      98.   Tosefta on corrections 17:38  |  Nephtaly 20/12/07
      99.   Zeev.. 17:59  |  Nephtaly 20/12/07
      100.   Arab "evacuation" vs. Jewish "evacuation." 18:02  |  curious 20/12/07
      101.   to Nephtaly #83 - our rights 18:10  |  zeev 20/12/07
      102.   Well violence works so well for the arabs - so why not? 18:13  |  smarter then olmert 20/12/07
      103.   Awake 18:14  |  Nephtaly 20/12/07
      104.   Nephtaly #98 18:19  |  Tosefta 20/12/07
      105.   #80 wishful thinking zeev the settlers are legal and will stay ! 18:23  |  victor hardman 20/12/07
      106.   The outposts (Yaakov Sullivan #94) 18:27  |  Tosefta 20/12/07
      107.   Settlers Who Do Not Want To Leave Should Not Be Forced to Leave! 18:40  |  MIKE 20/12/07
      108.   # 29 margie 18:40  |  Axel 20/12/07
      109.   Nephtaly - I disagree 18:40  |  Awake 20/12/07
      110.   Why are you surprised? 18:41  |  Ralph Sturpopulous 20/12/07
      111.   Nephtaly - Continued 18:45  |  Awake 20/12/07
      112.   Zeev... 18:47  |  Nephtaly 20/12/07
      113.   Israelis are tough when pushed into a corner 18:47  |  Kirk Douglas 20/12/07
      114.   Petra/92 18:56  |  Anne 20/12/07
      115.   Response requested by #67, 83 19:13  |  Esther 20/12/07
      116.   to Nahum #88 19:17  |  zeev 20/12/07
      117.   Esther says the qassams are our own fault 19:29  |  Israeli 20/12/07
      118.   extreme right will use violence 19:30  |  Darwish 20/12/07
      119.   Axel 19:31  |  Margie in Tel Aviv 20/12/07
      120.   #29 Margie in TA 19:33  |  Boycott 20/12/07
      121.   #104 Mike 19:37  |  Boycott 20/12/07
      122.   This is wrong on so many levels... 19:42  |  David 20/12/07
      123.   Transliteration (ODP1 #95) 19:47  |  Tosefta 20/12/07
      124.   Awake 20:02  |  Nephtaly 20/12/07
      125.   to Nephtaly #99 20:03  |  zeev 20/12/07
      126.   Awake????? 20:05  |  rs 20/12/07
      127.   Boycott 20:11  |  Margie in Tel Aviv 20/12/07
      128.   Nephtaly - Yes, we must be careful on Labels 20:34  |  Awake 20/12/07
      129.   Zeev Part 1 20:37  |  Nephtaly 20/12/07
      130.   #127 Margie in TA 20:38  |  Boycott 20/12/07
      131.   George`s Crusade to redraw the ME 20:47  |  Christian 20/12/07
      132.   Zeev Part 2 20:47  |  Nephtaly 20/12/07
      133.   Our sub-Marginal legalist from TA (#127; re Boycott) 20:51  |  Tosefta 20/12/07
      134.   One thing for certain 20:53  |  Chris Linthwaite 20/12/07
      135.   preventive detention for Jewish extremists 21:01  |  dalila 20/12/07
      136.   Awake 21:03  |  Nephtaly 20/12/07
      137.   Darwish 21:32  |  Eli Israeli 20/12/07
      138.   # 127 margie 21:43  |  Axel 20/12/07
      139.   The Best Way to Get West Bank Jews to Leave 22:33  |  MIKE 20/12/07
      140.   #104 VictorPaul Harrisman 22:49  |  Labhras 20/12/07
      141.   re: muslim 22:50  |  Efox 20/12/07
      142.   re:Dutch Dirk 22:52  |  Efox 20/12/07
      143.   When The Law Fails To Deliver Justice Vigilantes Take Over 22:55  |  Efox 20/12/07
      144.   BS The RR wouldn`t fight a mouse! 22:55  |  Lord Halifax 20/12/07
      145.   re: Palestinian Brit 22:56  |  Efox 20/12/07
      146.   #118 22:57  |  bs 20/12/07
      147.   re: Yaakov Sullivan 22:58  |  Efox 20/12/07
      148.   #138 Axel re councillor Margie 22:59  |  Labhras 20/12/07
      149.   #134 22:59  |  bs 20/12/07
      150.   #135 23:01  |  bs 20/12/07
      151.   Ari been Delusional 23:02  |  GABE1 20/12/07
      152.   re: dalila 23:05  |  Efox 20/12/07
      153.   re: Darwish 23:07  |  Efox 20/12/07
      154.   #141labarse the mijjit ijjit is back 23:08  |  victor hardman 20/12/07
      155.   #107: here is the answer 23:08  |  Leo 20/12/07
      156.   Palestinian Brit 23:17  |  john 20/12/07
      157.   # 93 Zeev - A bunch of typos- sorry 23:18  |  17 20/12/07
      158.   The laughing stock of Israel... 23:39  |  Maureen Ann 20/12/07
      159.   Maybe child abuse officers have inside info 23:42  |  Simon 20/12/07
      160.   #153 little boy efox the violent cowboy from NM 23:49  |  say what? 20/12/07
      161.   #151 Gabe1 the wordmaster 23:54  |  shocked!!! 20/12/07
      162.   Pharaoh taskmaster IDF has caught Road Map pants down 00:27  |  Joseph E . 21/12/07
      163.   to Nephaly #132 00:39  |  zeev 21/12/07
      164.   Just like the old Zionists 00:39  |  W 21/12/07
      165.   expert::it`s the mother of all IFs 00:41  |  olivia lawrence 21/12/07
      166.   "settlers" the Israelis Lefts "N WORD" 00:45  |  smarter the olmert 21/12/07
      167.   They are a violent people. Of course they will use violence 01:05  |  21/12/07
      168.   Easiest solution 02:20  |  Chris Linthwaite 21/12/07
      169.   #139 No they won`t MIKE 02:35  |  Johnboy 21/12/07
      170.   Peace Now Suspected of Financial Scam to Mask Backers 02:57  |  Joseph E . 21/12/07
      171.   re: Maureen Ann 03:08  |  Efox 21/12/07
      172.   re: john 03:11  |  Efox 21/12/07
      173.   re: say what? 03:17  |  Efox 21/12/07
      174.   re: Chris Linthwaite 03:21  |  Efox 21/12/07
      175.   #172 03:36  |  Chris Linthwaite 21/12/07
      176.   re: Boycott 03:44  |  Efox 21/12/07
      177.   When will Israel smell th coffee? 04:23  |  Salty 21/12/07
      178.   #100 curious Arab "evacuation" vs. Jewish "evacuation" 07:10  |  Pablo B 21/12/07
      179.   #171 Efox. How many European/Western... 07:30  |  Maureen Ann 21/12/07
      180.   145 EFox 08:04  |  Palestinian Brit 21/12/07
      181.   John re EFox. Unhinged. 08:07  |  Palestinian Brit 21/12/07
      182.   There Will Be No Retreat, No Surrender! 08:17  |  Mark Hamil 21/12/07
      183.   Extreme Right Violence 09:34  |  Rachel Simson 21/12/07
      184.   To the Durbanite 53 09:34  |  Ari ben Yisrael 21/12/07
      185.   No retreat etc. 09:41  |  Palestinian Brit 21/12/07
      186.   #151 the Arrogant asshole from Canada 09:46  |  Ari ben Yisrael 21/12/07
      187.   to Mark Hamil #182 10:11  |  zeev 21/12/07
      188.   #29. seems fair ro me 10:21  |  muslim 21/12/07
      189.   Having Sown The Settler Wind.... 10:39  |  chet 21/12/07
      190.   to Salty #177 10:45  |  zeev 21/12/07
      191.   re: Maureen Ann 23:32  |  Efox 21/12/07
      192.   re: Palestinian Brit 23:33  |  Efox 21/12/07
      193.   to #190 23:20  |  salty 22/12/07
      194.   to salty #193 02:47  |  zeev 23/12/07
      195.   #189, chet... 00:11  |  Silvienne 24/12/07
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